TYPHOON ULYSSES (VAMCO) ADVISORY NO. 11 [FINAL]

Issued at: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Thursday, 12 November 2020
Current Status & Outlook Typhoon ULYSSES (VAMCO) emerges over the West Philippine Sea as it accelerates westward away from Luzon…will leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow morning.

*This is the Final Advisory on this Tropical Cyclone

24-hr Outlook: TY ULYSSES (VAMCO) is forecast to maintain its westward track across the West Philippine & South China Seas at a forward speed of 19 kph, and is likely to re-intensify after moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow morning (Nov 13). 

Where is ULYSSES (VAMCO)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, November 12…0900 GMT:

  • Location of Center:  Over West Philippine Sea.
  • Coordinates: 15.3°N lat  117.8°E lon
  • Distance 1: 252 km west-southwest of Alaminos City, Pangasinan
  • Distance 2: 300 km west of Angeles City, Pampanga
  • Distance 3: 311 km west-southwest of San Fernando City, La Union
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 140 kph near the center…Gustiness: 165 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West @ 23 kph, towards Vietnam.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  • None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • None

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Already outside of PAR while re-intensifying over the South China Sea…about 651 km W of Alaminos City, Pangasinan [2PM Nov 13: 15.1°N 114.0°E @ 150 kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 300 mm [Light to Heavy]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 980 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (535 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (780 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 155 km from the center
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

For more info: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=VAMCO

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

 


Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals.jpg)

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