TYPHOON ULYSSES (VAMCO) ADVISORY NO. 10

Issued at: 8:00 AM PhT (00:00 GMT) Thursday, 12 November 2020
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Thursday, 12 November 2020
Current Status & Outlook Typhoon ULYSSES (VAMCO) has weakened upon crossing the landmass of Central Luzon, and is now moving over Zambales Mountains…expected to emerge over the West Philippine Sea later this morning. Tropical Storm to Typhoon-Force Winds will continue to prevail across the western portions of Central Luzon including Metro Manila for the next 6 hours.

24-hr Outlook: TY ULYSSES (VAMCO) is forecast to turn westward across the West Philippine Sea at a forward speed of 19 kph, and is likely to re-intensify after moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow morning (Nov 13). 

Where is ULYSSES (VAMCO)? As of 5:00 AM PhT today, November 12…2100 GMT:

  • Location of Center:  Over Pampanga-Tarlac Area.
  • Coordinates: 15.3°N lat  120.5°E lon
  • Distance 1: 15 km northwest of Clark International Airport, Pampanga
  • Distance 2: 85 km northwest of Quezon City
  • Distance 3: 80 km south of Dagupan City, Pangasinan
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 150 kph near the center…Gustiness: 185 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West @ 26 kph, towards Zambales and West Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  • None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • REST OF LUZON including NATIONAL CAPITAL REGION (NCR) – Today.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • WESTERN SECTIONS OF CENTRAL LUZON – Today
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • Coastal, Bays, & Lake Areas of Western Luzon (from Ilocos Norte down to Batangas – Today.

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: About to exit PAR while maintaining its westward track and strength…about 404 km WSW of Dagupan City, Pangasinan [2AM Nov 13: 15.3°N 116.6°E @ 140 kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 400 mm [Light to Extreme]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 980 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (745 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (720 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 200 km from the center
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

 

For more info: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=VAMCO

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL


Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals.jpg)

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