TYPHOON ULYSSES (VAMCO) ADVISORY NO. 07
Issued at: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Wednesday, 11 November 2020
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Wednesday, 11 November 2020
|Current Status & Outlook||ULYSSES (VAMCO) is now a well-developed Typhoon, with its eye trying to form just to the north of Caramoan, Camarines Sur. The southern edge of the developing eyewall is currently affecting the northern coastal towns of Caramoan, Siruma, & Caramoan in CamSur, and Catanduanes with wind gusts of more than 100 km/hr. While, its Inner Rainbands continues to spread across the Rest of Camarines Sur and Camarines Norte, where wind gusts of 60-100 km/hr with occasional rains will be expected through the afternoon.
24-hr Outlook: TY ULYSSES (VAMCO) is forecast to move almost westward with a forward speed of 21 km/hr, and will continue to intensify, becoming a Category 2 Typhoon prior in making landfall over Polillo Island & Northern Quezon later tonight. The CORE (Eye + Eyewall) is expected to pass about 100 km to the north of Naga City, CamSur between 2-3 PM this afternoon while passing very close to Calaguas Island Group. The typhoon will make landfall over Polillo Island Group on or before midnight tonight, and will make another landfall over Northern Quezon via General Nakar during the early hours of Thursday. Between 2 to 8 AM Thursday, the CORE will cross Central Luzon, passing along the provinces of Nueva Ecija, Pampanga, and Zambales. It will then emerge over the coastal areas of Masinloc in Zambales before noontime Thursday.
|Where is ULYSSES (VAMCO)?||As of 11:00 AM PhT today, November 11…0300 GMT:
|How strong is it?||Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 140 kph near the center…Gustiness: 165 kph.|
|Past Movement (06 hrs)||West @ 22 kph, towards Central Luzon|
|Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)||
|What Philippine areas will be directly affected?||Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
|Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+||
+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates for more details.
|3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**||
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
|Other Storm’s Meteorological Information||
|Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.|
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)
Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks
For more info: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=VAMCO
PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.