TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) STORMWATCH NO. 01

Issued at: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Tuesday, 13 April 2021
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Wednesday, 14 April 2021
Current Status and Outlook

The broad and active Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 94W over Western Micronesia has developed into a Tropical Depression (TD), and could pose a threat to Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region this weekend.

This TD is forecast to intensify into a Tropical Storm (TS) within the next 48 hours and shall enter the southeastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Friday, April 16. 

Where is the TD? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, April 13…0900 GMT:

  • Location of Center: Over Western Micronesia (near 7.6°N 138.4°E)
  • Distance 1: 224 km south of Colonia, Yap (FSM)
  • Distance 2: 375 km east of PAR
  • Distance 3: 1,336 km east of Davao Oriental, Mindanao (PH)
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) Northwest Slowly, towards Western Micronesia.
Forecast Highlights
  • This TD is forecast to move across the Philippine Sea this weekend, becoming a Typhoon on Saturday (Apr 17). It shall begin recurving towards the North while about 200-300 km to the east of Samar Island on Sunday Afternoon (Apr 18). Please take note that this 5-day forecast remains uncertain with 30-40% chance (Low Probability). Kindly refer to our attached StormWatch Track for the forecast wind speeds of this cyclone.
  • Once this Tropical Depression (TD) enters PAR, it will be named domestically by PAGASA as “BISING.”
  • This StormWatch is valid for the next 24 hours.
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for T2K

 

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