SUPER TYPHOON ROLLY (GONI) ADVISORY NO. 06
Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Saturday, 31 October 2020
Next update: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Saturday, 31 October 2020
|Current Status & Outlook||Extremely Catastrophic (Category 5) Super Typhoon ROLLY (GONI) has slightly intensified over the past 12 hours as it starts to slide on a west-southwest direction, endangering Bicol Region, Southern & Central Luzon including the National Capital Region (NCR).
The potential landfall area will be tomorrow morning, November 01, along the northern tip of Catanduanes and the Northern Portions of Camarines Provinces with a high strike probability of 80-90%.
24-hr Outlook: STY ROLLY (GONI) is forecast to weaken slightly as it maintains its west-southwestward movement with an increased forward speed of 24 km/hr approaching the northern coast of Catanduanes with winds of 260 km/hr by early tomorrow morning.
|Where is ROLLY (GONI)?||As of 5:00 AM PhT today, October 31…2100 GMT:
|How strong is it?||Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 285 kph near the center…Gustiness: 350 kph.|
|Past Movement (06 hrs)||West-Southwest @ 21 kph, towards Northern Bicol-Quezon-NCR Area|
|Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)||
|What Philippine areas will be directly affected?||Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
|Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+||
+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates for more details.
|3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**||
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
|Other Storm’s Meteorological Information||
|Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.|
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)
PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.