SEVERE TROPICAL STORM PAENG (NALGAE) ADVISORY NO. 07
Issued at: 2:00 AM PhT (18:00 GMT) Saturday, 29 October 2022
Next update: 8:00 AM PhT (00:00 GMT) Saturday, 29 October 2022
|Current Status & Outlook||PAENG (NALGAE) intensified into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) and has made landfall over Catanduanes…now accelerating west-northwest towards Northern Camarines Sur-Camarines Norte Area.
As of 2:00 AM today, our Typhoon2000 Automated Weather Station based in Naga City has reported barometric readings of 989.0 hPa, which continues to fall rapidly at a rate of -6.0 for the past 15 minutes, and a wind gust of 58 kph blowing from North (12:27 AM) .
24-hr Outlook: STS PAENG is forecast to continue moving west-northwest with a decreased forward speed of 19 km/hr, and will continue to intensify today – as it traverses the low-level terrain of Northern Bicol Region. It is therefore expected to be over Sipocot, Cam Sur between 6 to 8 AM this morning or about 30 km NW of Naga City. By 8 PM tonight, the center of Paeng will be in the vicinity of Tanay, Rizal as it approaches Metro Manila.
The storm’s rainbands and trough together with the enhanced Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) will continue to bring isolated to occasional rains & thunderstorms with gusty winds (30-60 kph) across Luzon, becoming more frequent and stormy across Bicol Region, Southern Tagalog Provinces, Visayas, MiMaRoPa, & Sulu Archipelago tonight & tomorrow. The risk of floods and landslides is currently at medium to high.
|Where is PAENG?||As of 1:00 AM PhT today, October 29…1700 GMT:
|How strong is it?||Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 95 kph near the center…Gustiness: 120 kph.|
|Past Movement (06 hrs)||West-Northwest @ 29 kph, towards Bicol Region-CaLaBaRZon-Metro Manila Area.|
|Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)||
|What Philippine areas will be directly affected?||Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
|Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+||
+Waves of 1 to 2 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates for more details.
|2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**||
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
|Other Storm’s Meteorological Information||
|Disclaimer: Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.|
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)
Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks
For more info visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=NALGAE
PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin)