TYPHOON ODETTE (RAI) ADVISORY NO. 10

Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Friday, 17 December 2021
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Saturday, 18 December 2021
Current Status & Outlook Typhoon ODETTE (RAI) has slowed down and weakened slightly…now making landfall along the Municipality of Roxas (Palawan).  Heavy rains with destructive winds will be felt across Northern Palawan tonight, with improving weather conditions tomorrow morning as the typhoon moves away.

24-hr Outlook: The core of TY ODETTE (RAI) is forecast to re-intensify tomorrow while moving across the warm waters of the West Philippine Sea, and will track west-northwestward at a speed of 26 kph. Odette will then be passing within the vicinity of Kalayaan Island Group tomorrow afternoon after exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) late tomorrow morning.

Where is ODETTE (RAI)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, December 17…0900 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Over the southern part of Roxas, Palawan (near 10.2°N 119.2°E)
  • Distance 1: 14 km south-southwest of Roxas, Palawan
  • Distance 2: 52 km east-northeast of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan
  • Distance 3: 546 km east of Kalayaan Island Group, Palawan
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 175 kph near the center…Gustiness: 215 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West @ 22 kph, towards Northern Palawan-West Ph Sea-Kalayaan Is. Group.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)
  • None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • Palawan, Sulu Archipelago – Tonight.
  • Kalayaan Island Group – Tomorrow.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • Cuyo-Pamalican Area – Tonight.
  • Northern & Central Palawan – Tonight.
  • Kalayaan Island Group – Tomorrow.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • Coastal & Beachfront Areas of Sulu Archipelago & Palawan including Calamian Group & Kalayaan Island Group.

+Waves of 3 to 5 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Over the West Philippine Sea, moving WNW, re-intensifies back to a Category 3 Typhoon…about 202 km WNW of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan [2AM Dec 18: 10.9°N 117.2°E @ 185 kph]Forecast ConfidenceHIGH
  • SATURDAY AFTERNOON: In the vicinity of Kalayaan Island Group, after exiting PAR…continues to re-intensify…about 515 km WNW of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan [2PM Dec 18: 11.4°N 114.3°E @ 195 kph]Forecast Confidence: HIGH
  • SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Just along the eastern coast of Vietnam, starts to move northward while weakening into a Category 1 Typhoon…about 984 km WNW of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan [2PM Dec 19: 13.5°N 110.5°E @ 150 kph]Forecast Confidence: HIGH

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 500 mm [Light to Extreme]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 955 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (770 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (720 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 120 km outward from the center
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

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Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone-bulletin-iframe)

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