Issued at: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Friday, 26 May 2023
Next update: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Saturday, 26 May 2023
Current Status and Outlook

The Extremely Catastrophic Super Typhoon (STY) MAWAR which passed over Guam-Rota Area along Southern Marianas 36 hours ago, has started to bend more westward and accelerated towards the eastern part of the Philippine Sea…expected to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) later tonight or early Saturday morning. 

This super cyclone is still far away to directly affect any part of the country. However, the accompanying Monsoon Trough situated along Southern Luzon, MiMaRoPa, Visayas & Mindanao will bring isolated overcast skies with isolated to scattered rain showers & severe thunderstorms across the area.

Where is MAWAR? As of 11:00 PM PhT last night, May 25…1500 GMT:

  • Location of Eye/Center: Over the Western Pacific Ocean, east of the Philippine Sea (near 14.7°N 141.0°E)
  • Distance 1: 1,815 km east of Virac, Catanduanes
  • Distance 2: 2,035 km east of Casiguran, Aurora
  • Distance 3: 2,060 km east of Santa Ana, Cagayan
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 280 kph near the center…Gustiness: 335 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West @ 22 kph, across the Western Pacific Ocean.
Forecast Highlights
  • Will enter the eastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) late tonight or early morning Saturday…and will be given a local name as “BETTY.”
  • Will maintain its generally WNW track, with a slight NW turn throughout the 5-day forecast.
  • Fluctuations in its Wind Speed are still likely as the system continues to perform multiple Eyewall Replacement Cycles (ERC) every 2-3 days.
  • The Day 4 to 5 Forecast continues to show a passage along the coastal waters of Northern Cagayan-Batanes Area, with a very slow pace at a distance of more or less 200 km from Basco, Batanes, However, the forecast confidence remains at 50 to 30% (Medium to Low). 
  • The Western Outer Rainbands of MAWAR will start to affect Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, & Ilocos Region beginning Sunday (May 28).
  • This system will likely enhance the Southwest Monsoon (#Habagat) beginning Sunday or Monday (May 28/29) across the western sections of the country incl. NCR.
This StormWatch is valid for the next 24 hours. However, in the event that the cyclone has entered PAR, the 12 or 6 hourly Tropical Cyclone Advisories will commence.

Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)




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Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA ()


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