SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MARING (KOMPASU) ADVISORY NO. 04
Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Monday, 11 October 2021
Next update: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Tuesday, 12 October 2021
|Current Status & Outlook||Severe Tropical Storm MARING (KOMPASU) has accelerated westward and is now traversing the Babuyan Group of Islands, and is also passing along the coastal waters of Northern Cagayan. Its rainbands continues to affect Northern & Central Luzon.
24-hr Outlook: STS MARING (KOMPASU) is forecast to maintain its westerly course at a speed of 24 km/hr, and could intensify further. The core of STS MARING is expected to be along the coastal waters of Ilocos Norte by early tomorrow morning, and will emerge over northern portion of the West Philippine Sea, exiting the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow afternoon (Oct 12).
The presence of this large Tropical Cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) bringing cloudy skies with passing “on-and-off” monsoon rains with possible Severe Thunderstorms and gusty winds of 30-60 kph across Central & Southern Luzon including Metro Manila, MiMaRoPa, Sulu Archipelago, Visayas, & Mindanao today through tomorrow (Oct 12). The effect of this monsoon weather will be more frequent along the western sections with rough seas across the archipelago.
|Where is MARING (KOMPASU)?||As of 5:00 PM PhT today, October 11…0900 GMT:
|How strong is it?||Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 95 kph near the center…Gustiness: 120 kph.|
|Past Movement (06 hrs)||West @ 30 kph, towards the Babuyan Islands-Coastal Areas of Ilocos Norte.|
|Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)||
|What Philippine areas will be directly affected?||Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
|Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+||
+Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates for more details.
|3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**||
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
|Other Storm’s Meteorological Information||
|Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.|
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)
PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
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