TROPICAL STORM MARING (KOMPASU) ADVISORY NO. 01
Issued at: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Monday, 11 October 2021
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Monday, 11 October 2021
|Current Status & Outlook||The broad Monsoon Depression over the Philippine Sea has transitioned into a warm-core Tropical Cyclone yesterday afternoon…now classified as a large Tropical Storm with the local name “MARING” (KOMPASU). The system has been accelerating closer to Extreme Northern Luzon, and is likely to cross the Balintang Channel or in the vicinity of the Babuyan Islands this Monday evening.
24-hr Outlook: TS MARING (KOMPASU) is forecast to turn sharply westward and traverse the Babuyan Islands later tonight between 6 to 11 PM with a forward speed of 21 km/hr, with winds increasing to Severe Tropical Storm (STS) classification…about 100 to 110 kph with higher gusts.
The presence of this large Tropical Cyclone will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring cloudy skies with passing “on-and-off” monsoon rains with possible Severe Thunderstorms and gusty winds of 30-60 kph across Central & Southern Luzon including Metro Manila, MiMaRoPa, Sulu Archipelago, Visayas, & Mindanao. The effect of this monsoon weather will be more frequent along the western sections with rough seas across the archipelago.
|Where is MARING (KOMPASU)?||As of 11:00 PM PhT last night, October 10…1500 GMT:
|How strong is it?||Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 85 kph near the center…Gustiness: 100 kph.|
|Past Movement (06 hrs)||West-Northwest @ 26 kph, towards the Northern Cagayan-Batanes Area.|
|Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)||
|What Philippine areas will be directly affected?||Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
|Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+||
+Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates for more details.
|3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**||
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
|Other Storm’s Meteorological Information||
|Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.|
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)
PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
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