SUPER TYPHOON KARDING (NORU) ADVISORY NO. 09
Issued at: 2:00 PM PhT (06:00 GMT) Sunday, 25 September 2022
Next update: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Sunday, 25 September 2022
|Current Status & Outlook||Super Typhoon KARDING [NORU] has gained more strength while moving westward across the Philippine Sea, well to the north of Bicol Region. Its 1-minute sustained winds is now at 260 kph, becoming an Extremely Catastrophic Tropical Cyclone after undergoing Extreme Rapid Intensification (ERI) during the past 24 hours from 95 kph to 260 kph.
The howler is expected to make landfall along the Boundary of Aurora and Quezon/Dingalan Bay (or somewhere between the towns of General Nakar and Dingalan) tonight.
Meanwhile, current observations from Typhoon2000 Automated Weather Station (AWS) based in Daet, Camarines Norte which is located about 113 km away from the Super Typhoon has recorded wind gusts of only 27 kph blowing from the West at 8:48 AM today. The data confirms that KARDING is a small but compact Super Typhoon heading dangerously towards Central Luzon.
Residents living along the path of this howler must be fully prepared as landfall is only about 12 hours away. Please take all necessary precautions.
24-hr Outlook: STY KARDING is forecast to maintain its strength and direction with a forward speed of 20 km/hr through the next 12 hours. The core (eye + eyewall) of this howler will pass over the northern coastal waters of the Polillo Island Group after sunset today, and make landfall along Dingalan Bay or near the Northern Quezon-Aurora Boundary, between 9-11PM tonight. Then between 11PM tonight to 5AM early tomorrow morning, the core of KARDING will cross the provinces of Central Luzon via Nueva Ecija, Northern Bulacan, Northern Pampanga, Tarlac, & Zambales. At around 8AM tomorrow morning, it is forecast to emerge over the West Philippine Sea with decreased winds of 195 kph (Category 3). Meanwhile, Metro Manila and the rest of CaLaBaRZon will be under the typhoon’s inner bands, where gusty winds of 75 to 100 km/hr will be expected during its closest approach to the area tonight (approx. 9-11PM).
Meanwhile, this typhoon will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring occasional rains and thunderstorms across MiMaRoPa, Sulu Archipelago, Visayas and Western Mindanao beginning today through tomorrow (Sept 26).
|Where is KARDING (NORU)?||As of 11:00 AM PhT today, September 25…0300 GMT:
|How strong is it?||Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 260 kph near the center…Gustiness: 315 kph.|
|Past Movement (06 hrs)||West @ 22 kph, towards Polillo Island Group, Northern Quezon, Southern Aurora & Central Luzon.|
|Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)||
|What Philippine areas will be directly affected?||Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
|Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+||
+Waves of 2 to 6 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates for more details.
|3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**||
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
|Other Storm’s Meteorological Information||
|Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.|
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)
PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin)