SEVERE TROPICAL STORM JOLINA (CONSON) ADVISORY NO. 11 [FINAL]

Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Thursday, 09 September 2021
Current Status & Outlook Severe Tropical Storm JOLINA (CONSON) is about to move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it headed towards Hainan-Northern Vietnam Area.

24-hr Outlook: STS JOLINA (CONSON) is forecast to intensify further and move westward at a forward speed of 13 km/hr.  By tomorrow afternoon, JOLINA will be over the South China Sea, slowly moving closer to Hainan Island.

*Since this  storm is no longer a threat to the country – this will be the Final Advisory on JOLINA (CONSON). 

Where is JOLINA (CONSON)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, September 09…0900 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Over the West Philippine Sea (near 16.0°N 116.5°E)
  • Distance 1: 407 km west of Dagupan City, Pangasinan
  • Distance 2: 511 km west-northwest of Metro Manila
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 95 kph near the center…Gustiness: 120 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West-Northwest @ 26 kph, towards the Hainan Island-Northern Vietnam Area.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  • None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • None

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Re-intensifies further while over the South China Sea, outside of PAR, maintains its Westward track…about 728 km W of Dagupan City, Pangasinan [2PM Sept 11: 16.3°N 113.5°E @ 110 kph]Forecast ConfidenceHIGH

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 350 mm [Light to Extreme]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (540 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (330 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 25 km outward from the center
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

:: NONE

Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone-bulletin-iframe)

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