SEVERE TROPICAL STORM JOLINA (CONSON) ADVISORY NO. 04
Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Tuesday, 07 September 2021
Next update: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Tuesday, 07 September 2021
|Current Status & Outlook||Severe Tropical Storm JOLINA (CONSON) has slightly intensified as it emerges back to sea, and is now moving across the island municipalities of Samar Province as it tracks toward Ticao-Burias Islands.
24-hr Outlook: STS JOLINA (CONSON) is forecast to become a Typhoon later this afternoon and move northwestward at a forward speed of 20 km/hr and will be in the vicinity of Ticao Island at around 2 PM. By this evening through early tomorrow morning, JOLINA will traverse Ragay Gulf, passing very near the western coastal areas of Camarines Sur.
Meanwhile, TD 19W becomes a Tropical Storm (TS) as it moves northwestward across the Pacific Ocean. At 5 AM today, it was located about 1,662 km East of Central Luzon (15.5N 137.1E), with 1-min sustained winds of 85 kph. This system is not yet a threat to any part of the country as it is forecast to move towards Taiwan within the next 5 days. It is then forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Wednesday morning (Sept 08).
|Where is JOLINA (CONSON)?||As of 5:00 AM PhT today, September 07…2100 GMT:
|How strong is it?||Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 110 kph near the center…Gustiness: 140 kph.|
|Past Movement (06 hrs)||West-Northwest @ 19 kph, towards Masbate-Ticao-Burias Area|
|Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)||
|What Philippine areas will be directly affected?||Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
|Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+||
+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates for more details.
|3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**||
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
|Other Storm’s Meteorological Information||
|Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.|
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)
PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone-bulletin-iframe)