Issued at: 2:00 AM PhT (18:00 GMT) Wednesday, 24 August 2022
Next update: 2:00 PM PhT (06:00 GMT) Wednesday, 24 August 2022
Current Status & Outlook Severe Tropical Storm FLORITA (MA-ON) continues to weaken while accelerating west-northwestward across the West Philippine Sea, and is about to exit the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).  Improving weather conditions will be expected today across Northern Luzon as the system moves farther away. 

24-hr Outlook: STS FLORITA (MA-ON) is forecast to reorganize while over the South China Sea this morning, and could become a Category 1 Typhoon with winds of 120 kph later tonight.

Meanwhile, the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring scattered to occasional rains with some severe thunderstorms across the western sections of Luzon including Metropolitan Manila, MiMaRoPa, Sulu Archipelago, & Western Visayas today. Risk of flooding and landslides will remain Medium to High.

Where is FLORITA (MA-ON)? As of 11:00 PM PhT last night, August 23…1500 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Over the northern part of the West Philippine Sea (near 18.9°N 119.6°E)
  • Distance 1: 131 km northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
  • Distance 2: 170 km north-northwest of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
  • Distance 3: 224 km west-northwest of Aparri, Cagayan
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 95 kph near the center…Gustiness: 120 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West-Northwest @ 26 kph, towards Southern China.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)
  • None.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • None. 

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • Coastal & Beachfront Areas of Ilocos Region.

+Waves of 1 to 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • WEDNESDAY EVENING: Becomes a Typhoon as it maintains its WNW track across the South China Sea...about 283 km SE of Hong Kong, China [8PM Aug 24: 20.4°N 115.8°E @ 120 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
  • THURSDAY EVENING: Begins to make landfall over Yangjiang, Southern China…about 466 km West of Hong Kong, China [8PM Aug 25: 22.0°N 109.6°E @ 95 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (915 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (610 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 45 km outward from the center
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)


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