Issued at: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Tuesday, 23 August 2022
Next update: 2:00 AM PhT (18:00 GMT) Wednesday, 24 August 2022
Current Status & Outlook Severe Tropical Storm FLORITA (MA-ON) has weakened slightly while accelerating over the landmass of Northern Luzon…now over Mt. Dinawanan or very near Carasi, Ilocos Norte, approaching Laoag City. Its rainbands will continue to bring stormy weather across Ilocos and Cordillera Regions tonight. Life-threatening flash floods and landslides are likely to occur during the storm’s passage. Please take all necessary precautions.

24-hr Outlook: STS FLORITA (MA-ON) is forecast to weaken further and will eventually reach the West Philippine Sea tonight. By tomorrow morning, FLORITA will maintain its WNW track, leave the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), and re-intensify in the afternoon.

Meanwhile, the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring scattered to occasional rains with some severe thunderstorms across Central Luzon including Metropolitan Manila, MiMaRoPa, CaLaBaRZon, Sulu Archipelago, & Western Visayas today. Risk of flooding and landslides will remain Medium to High.

Where is FLORITA (MA-ON)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, August 23…0900 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: In the vicinity of Mt. Dinawanan, Ilocos Norte (near 18.2°N 120.9°E)
  • Distance 1: 32 km east of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
  • Distance 2: 89 km northeast of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
  • Distance 3: 109 km northwest of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 100 kph near the center…Gustiness: 130 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West-Northwest @ 25 kph, across Ilocos Norte.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)
  • None. Cyclone remains over land.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • Ilocos & Cordillera Regions – between 8PM today to 8PM tomorrow, Wednesday (Aug 24).

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • Ilocos Provinces – Tonight.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • Coastal & Beachfront Areas of Ilocos Region.

+Waves of 1 to 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Moving WNW across the South China Sea, outside of PAR…re-intensifies back to near-Typhoon strength...about 390 km WNW of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte [2PM Aug 24: 19.6°N 117.2°E @ 110 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
  • THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Makes landfall along the western part of Guangdong Province (Southern China) as a Category 1 Typhoon…about 293 km WSW of Hong Kong, China [2PM Aug 25: 21.6°N 111.4°E @ 120 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW
  • FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipating over Northern Vietnam, just a minimal Tropical Storm (TS)…about 936 km West of Hong Kong, China [2PM Aug 26: 22.8°N 105.0°E @ 65 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (590 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (610 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 95 km outward from the center
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)


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