Issued at: 2:00 PM PhT (06:00 GMT) Tuesday, 23 August 2022
Next update: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Tuesday, 23 August 2022
Current Status & Outlook Severe Tropical Storm FLORITA (MA-ON) at near-Typhoon strength has  made landfall over Maconacon, Isabela at around 10:30 AM this morning…now moving across Cagayan and Apayao. Its rainbands will continue to bring heavy to extreme rainfall with gusty winds across much of Northern Luzon. Life-threatening flash floods and landslides are likely to occur during the storm’s passage. Please take all necessary precautions.

24-hr Outlook: STS FLORITA (MA-ON) is forecast to weaken slightly and will continue traversing Extreme Northern Luzon, passing over Apayao this afternoon, and will be along the northern portion of Ilocos Norte early this evening, or about 13 km west of Pagudpud at 8PM. By early tomorrow morning, FLORITA will weaken slightly while emerging over the West Philippine Sea. It will eventually leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by mid-morning tomorrow.

Meanwhile, its trough or extension together with the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring scattered to occasional rains with severe thunderstorms across the Whole of Luzon including Metropolitan Manila, MiMaRoPa, & Western Visayas today. Risk of flooding and landslides will be Medium to High.

Where is FLORITA (MA-ON)? As of 11:00 AM PhT today, August 23…0300 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: In the vicinity of Maconancon, Isabela (near 17.5°N 122.1°E)
  • Distance 1: 41 km east-southeast of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
  • Distance 2: 107 km south-southeast of Aparri, Cagayan
  • Distance 3: 177 km east-southeast of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 110 kph near the center…Gustiness: 140 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) Northwest @ 19 kph, across the rugged terrain of Cagayan, Apayao & Ilocos Norte.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)
  • None…cyclone now over land.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • Northern Luzon – between 2PM today to 2PM tomorrow, Wednesday (Aug 24).

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • Cagayan, Apayao, & Ilocos Norte – Today until Early Wednesday morning.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • Coastal & Beachfront Areas of Extreme Northern Luzon.

+Waves of 1 to 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • WEDNESDAY MORNING: Exits the northwestern border of the PAR…re-intensifies back to near-Typhoon strength while accelerating WNW…about 257 km WNW of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte [8AM Aug 24: 19.2°N 118.4°E @ 110 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
  • THURSDAY MORNING: Prepares to make landfall over Guangdong Province (Southern China), attains Typhoon classification…about 144 km SW of Hong Kong, China [8AM Aug 25: 20.7°N 115.0°E @ 130 kph].    Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
  • FRIDAY MORNING: Moving across Northern Vietnam as downgraded Tropical Storm (TS)…about 823 km West of Hong Kong, China [8AM Aug 26: 22.6°N 106.1°E @ 65 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 350 mm [Light to Extreme]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Small (495 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (550 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 100 km outward from the center
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)


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