Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Friday, 23 July 2021
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Saturday, 24 July 2021
Current Status and Outlook

Typhoon FABIAN (IN-FA) has started to move slowly north-northwest towards the East China Sea, after weakening slightly and remaining almost stationary during the past 24 hours.  Its core (eye & eyewall) is now over Miyakojima and Tarama Islands…will move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tonight.

Meanwhile, due to the slow movement of this typhoon – it will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) Rains across Ilocos Region & Central Luzon incl. Metro Manila, CaLaBaRZon, and Mindoro through tomorrow.

TY FABIAN (IN-FA) is forecast to re-intensify slightly within the next 12 to 24 hours and will begin to accelerate slightly north-northwestward at 14 km/hr, across the open waters of the East China Sea by tomorrow afternoon (Jul 24). 

Where is FABIAN (IN-FA)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, July 23…0900 GMT:

  • Location of Center: Over the northernmost part of the East Taiwan Sea or in the vicinity of Miyakojima and Tarama Islands (near 24.6°N 125.1°E)
  • Distance 1: 540 km northeast of Itbayat, Batanes
  • Distance 2: 96 km east-northeast of Ishigakijima, Japan
  • Distance 3: 360 km east of Taipei, Taiwan
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 150 kph near the center…Gustiness: 185 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) North-Northwest @ 04 kph, towards the  East China Sea.
Forecast Highlights
  • TY IN-FA (FABIAN) remains far away from the Philippine Landmass, with no direct effect (except for the Batanes Group of Islands which is under PAGASA Wind Signal No. 01). However, the presence of this system will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) bringing scattered to widespread “on-&-off” to at times continuous rain showers and thunderstorms with squalls carrying 30-60 kph wind gust across the western sections of the country through Saturday, July 24.
  • For the next two (2) to three (3) days, TY FABIAN (IN-FA) is forecast to move north-northwest to northwestward across the East China Sea, with decreased wind speeds of 120 km/hr, making landfall along the Eastern Zhejiang Province of China (near Ningbo City) on Sunday afternoon (Jul 25). By Monday afternoon (Jul 26), the cyclone will rapidly weaken into a Tropical Storm (TS) while traversing Zhejiang Province at a very slow westerly pace. The probability of this forecast remains medium to low confidence and was based on the latest (8AM) Typhoon Global Models.
  • This StormWatch is valid for the next 24 hours.
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)





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