Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Wednesday, 21 July 2021
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Thursday, 22 July 2021
Current Status and Outlook

Typhoon FABIAN (IN-FA) has maintained its intensification process while it tracks westward slowly towards Miyakojima. Even though it will not directly affect the country, the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) Rains will continue to be enhanced by this system, affecting Western Luzon incl. Metro Manila and Mindoro.

TY FABIAN (IN-FA) is forecast to intensify further within the next 12 to 24 hours and could become a Category 3 Typhoon (TY) by tomorrow afternoon with winds of 185 km/hr with higher gusts. It shall then continue to move very slowly westward at 06 km/hr, nearing the Miyakojima & Yaeyama Island Chain. 

Where is FABIAN (IN-FA)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, July 21…0900 GMT:

  • Location of Center: Over the northern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 24.1°N 126.9°E)
  • Distance 1: 646 km northeast of Basco, Batanes
  • Distance 2: 238 km south-southwest of Okinawa, Japan
  • Distance 3: 549 km east of Taipei, Taiwan
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 175 kph near the center…Gustiness: 215 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West @ 12 kph, towards Miyakojima-Yaeyama Islands.
Forecast Highlights
  • TY IN-FA (FABIAN) remains far away from the Philippine Landmass, with no direct effect. However, the presence of this system will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) bringing scattered to widespread “on-&-off” to at times continuous rain showers and thunderstorms with squalls carrying 30-60 kph wind gust across the western sections of the country through Saturday, July 23.
  • For the next two (2) to three (3) days, TY FABIAN (IN-FA) is forecast to accelerate and turn northwest to north-northwestward, passing very close to Ishigakijima on Friday afternoon (Jul 23), and shall move across the East China Sea through Saturday afternoon (July 24) with decreased wind speeds of 160 km/hr. The probability of this forecast is at high confidence and was based on the latest (8AM) Typhoon Global Models.
  • It may exit the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Friday late afternoon (July 23).
  • This StormWatch is valid for the next 24 hours.
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)





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