TYPHOON FABIAN (IN-FA) STORMWATCH NO. 05

Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Tuesday, 20 July 2021
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Wednesday, 21 July 2021
Current Status and Outlook

FABIAN (IN-FA) becomes a Typhoon (TY) as it starts to turn slowly westward along the northernmost part of the North Philippine Sea…continues to threaten Southern Ryukyus & Yaeyama-Miyako Islands.

TY FABIAN (IN-FA) is forecast to intensify further within the next 12 to 24 hours and could become a Category 2 Typhoon (TY) by tomorrow afternoon. It shall then move west to west-southwest slowly at 10 km/hr. 

Where is FABIAN (IN-FA)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, July 20…0900 GMT:

  • Location of Center: Over the northernmost part of the North Philippine Sea (near 24.8°N 129.3°E)
  • Distance 1: 217 km southeast of Okinawa, Japan
  • Distance 2: 890 km northeast of Basco, Batanes
  • Distance 3: 780 km east of Taipei, Taiwan
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 120 kph near the center…Gustiness: 150 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West-Northwest @ 16 kph, towards Yaeyama-Miyakojima Islands.
Forecast Highlights
  • TY IN-FA (FABIAN) remains far away from the Philippine Landmass, with no direct effect. However, the presence of this system will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) bringing scattered to “on-&-off” rain showers and thunderstorms with 30-60 kph winds across the western sections of the country through Saturday, July 23.
  • For the next three (3) days, TY FABIAN (IN-FA) is forecast to track generally westward, passing to the south of Okinawa tomorrow morning (Jul 21), and traversing the Yaeyama-Miyako Islands on Thursday through Friday (Jul 22-23) as a 175 km/hr TY (Category 02). The probability of this forecast is high to medium and was based on the latest (8am) Typhoon Global Models.
  • It may exit the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Friday evening (July 23).
  • This StormWatch is valid for the next 24 hours.
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for T2K

 

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