TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMONG ADVISORY NO. 03

Issued at: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Monday, 05 July 2021
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Monday, 05 July 2021
Current Status & Outlook Tropical Depression (TD) EMONG fast approaching the Batanes & Babuyan Group of Islands as it enters the eastern part of the Balintang Channel…intensifies slightly and will pass over or very close to Basco tonight.

24-hr Outlook: TD EMONG is forecast to intensify into a Tropical Storm (TS) later today and will maintain west-northwest movement across the Balintang & Bashi Channels at a decreased forward speed of 30 km/hr this evening. It will then exit the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by early tomorrow morning (Jul 06).

Meanwhile, Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 97W has moved out of the PAR this morning, as it heads for Vietnam. At 11AM today, it was located about 639 km west of Subic Bay (15.0N 114.3E). The potential of becoming a Tropical Depression within the next 24 hours remains at MEDIUM (35-65% chance).

Where is EMONG? As of 11:00 AM PhT today, July 05…0300 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Along the eastern portion of the Balintang Channel (near 18.8°N 124.3°E)
  • Distance 1: 229 km east of Santa Ana, Cagayan
  • Distance 2: 284 km east of Aparri, Cagayan
  • Distance 3: 303 km southeast of Basco, Batanes
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West-Northwest @ 40 kph, towards the Batanes & Babuyan Group of Islands
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  • None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • None

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • TUESDAY MORNING: Already outside of PAR as it strengthens into a 75-kph TS…about 146 km SW of Kaohsiung, Taiwan [8AM Jul 06: 21.8°N 119.2°E @ 75 kph]Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
  • WEDNESDAY MORNING: Weakens rapidly into a Tropical Disturbance (LPA) as it moves NNW across Southern China…about 222 km W of Fuzhou, China [8AM Jul 07: 26.4°N 117.1°E @ 35 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 1005 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Small (400 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): n/a (— km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

:: None yet. Will be available once RSMC’s Tokyo Typhoon Center (JMA) upgrades it into a Tropical Storm ::

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL



Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals_emong.png)

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