TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMONG ADVISORY NO. 02

Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Monday, 05 July 2021
Next update: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Monday, 05 July 2021
Current Status & Outlook Tropical Depression (TD) EMONG continued on its rapid motion towards the Batanes Group with little change in strength.

24-hr Outlook: TD EMONG is forecast to intensify into a Tropical Storm (TS) later today and will maintain its fast movement with a turn to the west-northwest across the Bashi Channel at a forward speed of 36 km/hr. It is expected to pass over the Batanes Group of Islands later this evening, and will exit the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by early tomorrow morning (Jul 06).

Meanwhile, Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 97W has maintained its west-northwest track across the West Philippine Sea, away from the Philippines. At 5AM today, it was located about 510 km west of Subic Bay (14.9N 115.5E). The potential of becoming a Tropical Depression within the next 24 hours remains at MEDIUM (35-65% chance).

Where is EMONG? As of 5:00 AM PhT today, July 05…2100 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Along the mid-northernmost portion of the Central Philippine Sea (near 17.8°N 126.3°E)
  • Distance 1: 444 km east of Santa Ana, Cagayan
  • Distance 2: 496 km east of Aparri, Cagayan
  • Distance 3: 540 km east-southeast of Basco, Batanes
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) Northwest @ 39 kph, towards the Batanes Group of Islands
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  • None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • None

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Exits the NW border of PAR as it strengthens into a 75-kph TS…about 171 km S of Kaohsiung, Taiwan [2AM Jul 06: 21.1°N 120.1°E @ 75 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW
  • WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens rapidly into a Tropical Depression (TD) as it moves across Southern China…about 242 km W of Xiamen, China [2AM Jul 07: 24.6°N 115.7°E @ 75 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (655 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): n/a (— km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

:: None yet. Will be available once RSMC’s Tokyo Typhoon Center (JMA) upgrades it into a Tropical Storm ::

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL



Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals_emong.png)

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