TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMONG ADVISORY NO. 01

Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Sunday, 04 July 2021
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Monday, 05 July 2021
Current Status & Outlook Tropical Depression (TD) EMONG newly-formed over the Central Philippine Sea as it races northwestward in the general direction of Batanes-Taiwan Area.

24-hr Outlook: TD EMONG is forecast to intensify into a Tropical Storm (TS) tomorrow and will continue to accelerate rapidly northwestward across the Philippine Sea at an increased forward speed of 38 km/hr. It will be approaching the Batanes Group of Islands by tomorrow afternoon (July 05).

Meanwhile, Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 97W continues to accelerate west-northwestward across the West Philippine Sea, away from the Philippines. At 5pm today, it was located about (13.7N 118.4E). The potential of becoming a Tropical Depression within the next 24 hours is now MEDIUM (35-65% chance).

Where is EMONG? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, July 04…0900 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Along the mid-eastern portion of the Central Philippine Sea (near 15.2°N 130.6°E)
  • Distance 1: 712 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes
  • Distance 2: 922 km east of Casiguran, Aurora
  • Distance 3: 1,081 km east-southeast of Basco, Batanes
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) North-Northwest @ 39 kph, across the Central Philippine Sea
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  • None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • None

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • MONDAY AFTERNOON: Accelerating NNW across the southwestern portion of the North Philippine Sea, approaching the Bashi Channel and becomes a Tropical Storm (TS)…about 278 km ESE of Basco, Batanes [2PM Jul 05: 19.6°N 124.5°E @ 65 kph]Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
  • TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens slightly after reaching 75 km/hr…exits the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it approaches the Southern Coast of China…about 408 km NW of Basco, Batanes [2PM Jul 06: 22.6°N 118.8°E @ 65 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (780 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): n/a (— km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

:: None yet. Will be available once RSMC’s Tokyo Typhoon Center (JMA) upgrades it into a Tropical Storm ::

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL



Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals_emong.png)

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