TROPICAL STORM DANTE (CHOI-WAN) ADVISORY NO. 14

Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Thursday, 03 June 2021
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Friday, 04 June 2021
Current Status & Outlook Tropical Storm DANTE (CHOI-WAN) is now over the northern part of the West Philippine Sea, away from the landmass of Western Luzon…turning north towards the coastal waters of Southern Taiwan (Bashi Channel).

Its rainbands together with its trough (extension) will continue to affect the western sections of Ilocos Region, where scattered rain showers with Severe thunderstorms will be expected across these areas tonight.

24-hr Outlook: TS DANTE is expected to recurve towards the northeast-northeast at a decreased speed of 18 kph with little change in its strength.  The storm is forecast to briefly exit the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by early tomorrow morning (June 04), and re-enter PAR in the afternoon, passing along the coastal waters of Southern Taiwan.

Where is DANTE (CHOI-WAN)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, June 03…0900 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Along Northern Part of the West Philippine Sea (18.0°N 118.3°E)
  • Distance 1: 226 km west-northwest of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
  • Distance 2: 274 km west-southwest of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
  • Distance 3: 481 km northwest of Metro Manila
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) North-Northwest @ 23 kph, across the West Philippine Sea
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  •  None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • None

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Just barely a TS as it re-enters PAR while moving NNE across the Bashi Channel, just south of Taiwan…about 175 km SSW of Kaohsiung, Taiwan [2PM Jun 04: 21.1°N 119.9°E @ 65 kph]Forecast Confidence: HIGH 

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 400 mm [Light to Extreme]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (520 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (330 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks
For more info: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=CHOI-WAN

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL



Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals_dante.png)

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