TROPICAL STORM DANTE (CHOI-WAN) ADVISORY NO. 13

Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Thursday, 03 June 2021
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Thursday, 03 June 2021
Current Status & Outlook The small core of Tropical Storm DANTE (CHOI-WAN) has moved along the offshore areas of Bataan & Zambales during the past 6 hours – passing very close to Subic Bay…and is now moving just to the west of Masinloc, Zambales. The bulk of its rainband-circulation remains over the West Philippine Sea, decreasing the threat of extreme rainfall across Western Luzon.

Its rainbands together with its trough (extension) will continue to affect Central Luzon, Mindoro, Northern Palawan, and the southern portions of Ilocos Region. Occasional rain showers with scattered Severe thunderstorms and gusty winds will be expected across these areas today.

24-hr Outlook: TS DANTE is expected to maintain its NNW track at a decreased speed of 23 kph towards the West Philippine Sea, away from Luzon’s West Coast and will maintain its intensity throughout the day.  The storm is forecast to briefly exit the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by early tomorrow morning (June 04).

Where is DANTE (CHOI-WAN)? As of 5:00 AM PhT today, June 03…2100 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Along Western Coast of Masinloc, Zambales (15.5°N 119.7°E)
  • Distance 1: 79 km south-southwest of Alaminos City, Pangasinan
  • Distance 2: 97 km northwest of Olongapo City, Zambales
  • Distance 3: 179 km northwest of Metro Manila
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) North-Northwest @ 26 kph, across the West Philippine Sea
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  •  None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • Occidental Mindoro, Bataan, Zambales, & Pangasinan  – Today.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintains its TS classification as it begins to recurve to the northeast, briefly exits the northwestern border of the PAR…about 264 km WNW of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte [2AM Jun 04: 19.7°N 118.6°E @ 65 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW 
  • SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens into a Remnant Low as it re-enters the PAR while moving quickly towards the northeast, passing along the southern tip of Taiwan and across the East Taiwan Sea …about 170 km NE of Taitung, Taiwan [2AM Jun 05: 23.6°N 122.5°E @ 35 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 250 mm [Light to Heavy]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (550 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (330 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks
For more info: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=CHOI-WAN

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL



Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals_dante.png)

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