TROPICAL STORM DANTE (CHOI-WAN) ADVISORY NO. 12

Issued at: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Thursday, 03 June 2021
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Thursday, 03 June 2021
Current Status & Outlook The core of Tropical Storm DANTE (CHOI-WAN) is now very close to the coast of Southwestern Bataan after crossing Southwestern Batangas last night…expected to move across the western coastal areas of Bataan, Zambales, and Pangasinan early this morning.

Its rainbands together with its trough (extension) will continue to affect MiMaRoPa, CaLaBaRZon, Metro Manila, and the western portions of Central Luzon. Occasional rain showers with scattered Severe thunderstorms and gusty winds will be expected across these areas today.

24-hr Outlook: TS DANTE is expected to accelerate NNW @ 27 kph and will cross the western coastal areas of Bataan, Zambales, & Pangasinan between 12 to 8 AM, today.  The storm is expected to weaken into a Tropical Depression (TD) after crossing the mountains of Zambales & Pangasinan, and by tomorrow evening, it will be in the vicinity of the West Philippine Sea or along the westernmost part of Balintang Channel.

Where is DANTE (CHOI-WAN)? As of 11:00 PM PhT today, June 02…1500 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Along Southwestern Coast of Bataan (14.3°N 120.4°E)
  • Distance 1: 43 km south-southwest of Balanga City, Bataan
  • Distance 2: 59 km west of Imus City, Cavite
  • Distance 3: 77 km west-southwest of Metro Manila
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) Northwest @ 18 kph, towards Western Coasts of Bataan, Zambales, & Pangasinan
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  •  Over Southwestern Coast of Bataan, between 12 AM to 8 AM  Today – with High Strike Probability of >90%.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • Mindoro, Calamian Group, Lubang Island, Western Coasts of Bataan, Zambales, & Pangasinan  – Tonight.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • THURSDAY EVENING: Over the West Philippine Sea, near the NW border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)…weakens into a TD while moving Northward…about 179 km WNW of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte [8PM Jun 03: 19.3°N 119.3°E @ 55 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW 
  • FRIDAY EVENING: Weakens into a Remnant Low as it recurves towards the NE while very near the East Coast of Taiwan…about 103 km ENE of Taitung, Taiwan [8PM Jun 04: 23.2°N 122.0°E @ 45 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 250 mm [Light to Heavy]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (640 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (330 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

For more info: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=CHOI-WAN

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL



Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals_dante.png)

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