TROPICAL STORM DANTE (CHOI-WAN) ADVISORY NO. 11

Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Wednesday, 02 June 2021
Next update: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Thursday, 03 June 2021
Current Status & Outlook The core of Tropical Storm DANTE (CHOI-WAN) is now making landfall along the southern coastline of Batangas…maintains its strength as it moved northwestward…expected to traverse the western sections of Batangas and Cavite this evening, and will be over Bataan by early tomorrow morning.

Its rainbands together with its trough (extension) will continue to affect Panay Island, MiMaRoPa, CaLaBaRZon, Metro Manila, and the western portions of Central Luzon. Occasional rain showers with scattered Severe thunderstorms and gusty winds will be expected across these areas today.

24-hr Outlook: TS DANTE is expected to accelerate NNW @ 24 kph and will cross the western sections of Batangas, Cavite, Bataan, Zambales, & Pangasinan tonight through tomorrow morning (6 PM to 8 AM).  The storm is expected to weaken into a Tropical Depression (TD) after crossing the mountains of Zambales, and by tomorrow afternoon, it will be in the vicinity of the West Philippine Sea, near the coast of Ilocos Provinces.

Where is DANTE (CHOI-WAN)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, June 02…0900 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Over Cape Verde Passage, very close to Verde Island (13.6°N 121.1°E)
  • Distance 1: 18 km south-southeast of Batangas City, Batangas
  • Distance 2: 59 km south-southeast of Tagaytay City, Cavite
  • Distance 3: 108 km south of Metro Manila
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) Northwest @ 16 kph, towards Batangas-Cavite-Bataan-Zambales-Pangasinan Area
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  • Landfall 04:  Now over Batangas – with High Strike Probability of >90%. 
  • Landfall 05:  Over Bataan, between 11 PM tonight to 12 AM  tomorrow – with High Strike Probability of >90%.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • MiMaRoPa – Tonight.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Over the West Philippine Sea, near the coast of Ilocos Provinces…weakens into a TD while moving NNW to Northward…about 111 km WNW of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur [2PM Jun 03: 17.9°N 119.4°E @ 55 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW 
  • FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens further as it turns NE-ward while over Southern Taiwan…about 32 km SE of Kaohsiung, Taiwan [2PM Jun 04: 22.4°N 120.5°E @ 45 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW
  • SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens into a remnant low (LPA) while accelerating NE-ward across the East Taiwan Sea – being absorbed into the Mei-yu Front…about 194 km ESE of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM Jun 05: 24.5°N 123.4°E @ 35 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 250 mm [Light to Heavy]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (505 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (330 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

For more info: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=CHOI-WAN

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL



Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals_dante.png)

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