TROPICAL STORM DANTE (CHOI-WAN) ADVISORY NO. 10

Issued at: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Wednesday, 02 June 2021
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Wednesday, 02 June 2021
Current Status & Outlook Tropical Storm DANTE (CHOI-WAN) has slowed down while turning northwestward with no change in strength during the past 6 hours. The core is currently passing along Tablas Straight (in between Marinduque & Oriental Mindoro)…approaching Batangas’ Coastline.

Its rainbands together with its trough (extension) will continue to affect Western Visayas, MiMaRoPa, Western Bicol, CaLaBaRZon, Metro Manila, and portions of Central Luzon. Occasional rains with scattered Severe thunderstorms and gusty winds will be expected across these areas today.

24-hr Outlook: TS DANTE is expected to move NNW @ 19 kph and will make landfall along Batangas this afternoon between 2 to 4 PM and will traverse Cavite on or before sunset, before moving across Manila Bay early this evening. The storm will make another landfall tonight, along Western Bulacan-Eastern Bataan Area (8 to 10 PM), and will traverse Zambales-Pampanga-Tarlac-Pangasinan between 10 PM tonight  to 6 AM  tomorrow (Jun 03). By tomorrow morning (8 AM), DANTE will be in the vicinity of Cape Bolinao-Lingayen Gulf Area (Pangasinan), and will be just a weakened Tropical Depression (TD).

Where is DANTE (CHOI-WAN)? As of 11:00 AM PhT today, June 02…0300 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Over Tablas Strait (13.1°N 121.8°E)
  • Distance 1: 34 km south-southwest of Boac, Marinduque
  • Distance 2: 108 km southeast of Batangas City, Batangas
  • Distance 3: 182 km south-southeast of Metro Manila
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) Northwest @ 25 kph, towards Batangas-Cavite-Bataan-Bulacan Area
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  • Landfall 04:  Over Batangas, between 2 to 5 PM  today – with High Strike Probability of >90%. 
  • Landfall 05:  Over Bataan-Bulacan Area, between 7 to 9 PM  today – with High Strike Probability of >90%.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • Visayas and MiMaRoPa – Today.
  • Metro Manila, CaLaBaRZon, Central Luzon – Today.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • THURSDAY MORNING: Over Cape Bolinao-Lingayen Gulf Area, weakens into a TD while moving NNW-ward…about 21 km NE of Alaminos City, Pangasinan [8AM Jun 03: 16.3°N 120.1°E @ 55 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW 
  • FRIDAY MORNING: Just along the NW border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it starts to recurve towards the NE – passing along the western portion of Bashi Channels…about 234 km W of Itbayat, Batanes [8AM Jun 04: 20.6°N 119.6°E @ 45 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW
  • SATURDAY MORNING: Weakens into a remnant low (LPA) while accelerating NE-ward across the East Taiwan Sea – passing along the Yaeyama & Miyakojima Islands…about 253 km ESE of Taipei, Taiwan [8AM Jun 05: 24.5°N 124.0°E @ 35 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 280 mm [Light to Heavy]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (545 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (330 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

For more info: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=CHOI-WAN

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL



Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals_dante.png)

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