TROPICAL STORM DANTE (CHOI-WAN) ADVISORY NO. 08

Issued at: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Wednesday, 02 June 2021
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Wednesday, 02 June 2021
Current Status & Outlook Tropical Storm DANTE (CHOI-WAN) has made landfall over Eastern Samar, just north of Borongan City around 9:00 PM last night, as fresh-new convective rainbands has developed near the center…and is now moving across Samar Province, towards Calbayog City Area. 

Its western & southern rainbands together with its trough (extension) will continue to affect Northern & Central Mindanao, Visayas, MiMaRoPa, and Bicol Region. Occasional rains & Severe thunderstorms with gusty winds will be expected across these areas today.

24-hr Outlook: TS DANTE is forecast to move west-northwestward to northwestward at an increased forward speed of 21 km/hr…and will make another landfall over Ticao Island, between 6 to 8:00 AM this morning. The storm is expected to move over Burias Island before noon today and across Ragay Gulf in the afternoon, and a 4th landfall along Calauag, Quezon before sunset today. By, DANTE will emerge over Lamon Bay with a little change in strength.

Where is DANTE (CHOI-WAN)? As of 11:00 PM PhT last night, June 01…1500 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Over Eastern Samar or in the vicinity Jicontol Natural Park (near 12.0°N 125.2°E)
  • Distance 1: 66 km east of Calbayog City, Leyte
  • Distance 2: 87 km north-northeast of Tacloban City, Leyte
  • Distance 3: 170 km southeast of Sorsogon City, Sorsogon
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) Northwest @ 28 kph, towards Samar-Bicol Region Area
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  • Landfall 02:  Over Ticao Island (Masbate) or Sorsogon, between 6 to 8 AM  tomorrow (Wed, June 02) – with High Strike Probability of >90%. 
  • Landfall 03:  Over Burias Island between 10 AM to 12 PM  today – with High Strike Probability of >90%. 
  • Landfall 04:  Over Calauag or Bondoc Peninsula (Quezon) between 2 to 4 PM  today – with High Strike Probability of 80-90%.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • Visayas and MiMaRoPa – Today.
  • Bicol Region – Today.
  • Metro Manila, Central & Southern Luzon – beginning Tonight

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • WEDNESDAY EVENING: Over Balesin Island-Lamon Bay Area…about 51 km SE of Infanta, Quezon [8PM Jun 02: 14.4°N 122.0°E @ 65 kph]Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
  • THURSDAY EVENING: Emerges over the Balintang Channel, after crossing Northern Luzon, just a TD…about 53 km SW of Calayan Island, Cagayan [8PM Jun 03: 19.0°N 121.1°E @ 45 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW
  • FRIDAY EVENING: Accelerates NNE-ward across the East Taiwan Sea, becoming an Extratropical Cyclone…about 256 km NE of Itbayat, Batanes [8PM Jun 04: 22.4°N 123.6°E @ 35 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 300 mm [Light to Heavy]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Small (425 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (390 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

For more info: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=CHOI-WAN

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL



Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals_dante.png)

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