TROPICAL STORM DANTE (CHOI-WAN) ADVISORY NO. 07

Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Tuesday, 01 June 2021
Next update: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Wednesday, 02 June 2021
Current Status & Outlook Tropical Storm DANTE (CHOI-WAN) continues to weaken as it  approaches the coastal areas of Eastern Samar…will make landfall just north of Borongan City tonight. 

Its western & southern rainbands together with its trough (extension) will continue to affect Mindanao, Visayas, and Bicol Region. Occasional rains & Severe thunderstorms with gusty winds will be expected across these areas tonight & tomorrow.

24-hr Outlook: TS DANTE is forecast to move west-northwestward at a forward speed of 20 km/hr…and will make landfall north of Borongan City, Eastern Samar between 7 to 9 PM tonight. The storm will then cross Samar Island late tonight and will pass over or very close to Calbayog City by early tomorrow morning. By 8:00 AM tomorrow morning, DANTE will be in the vicinity of Ticao-Burias Is. Area (Masbate), and over northern edge of Ragay Gulf tomorrow afternoon.

Where is DANTE (CHOI-WAN)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, June 01…0900 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Approaching the coast of Eastern Samar (near 11.6°N 126.0°E)
  • Distance 1: 62 km east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar
  • Distance 2: 120 km east-northeast of Tacloban City, Leyte
  • Distance 3: 162 km east-southeast of Calbayog City, Samar
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) Northwest @ 28 kph, towards Samar-Bicol Region Area
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  • Landfall 01:  Along Eastern Samar, between 7 to 9 PM  tonight – with High Strike Probability of >90%. 
  • Landfall 02:  Over Ticao Island (Masbate) or Sorsogon, between 6 to 8 AM  tomorrow (Wed, June 02) – with High Strike Probability of >90%. 
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • Caraga Region – Today.
  • Eastern & Central Visayas – Today.
  • Bicol Region – beginning Tonight.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Over the northern part of Ragay Gulf, approaching Tagkawayan-Lopez Area (Quezon)…about 27 km SSW of Ragay, Camarines Sur [2PM Jun 02: 13.6°N 122.7°E @ 65 kph]Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
  • THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Over the mountains of Kalinga, weakens into a Tropical Depression (TD) as it moves northward…about 48 km NW of Tabuk City, Kalinga [2PM Jun 03: 17.7°N 121.1°E @ 55 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW
  • FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Emerges over the Bashi Channel as it recurves towards NNE, becoming an Extratropical Cyclone…about 147 km NNE of Itbayat, Batanes [2PM Jun 04: 21.9°N 122.6°E @ 55 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 400 mm [Light to Extreme]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (575 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (390 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

For more info: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=CHOI-WAN

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL



Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals_dante.png)

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