TROPICAL STORM DANTE (CHOI-WAN) ADVISORY NO. 06

Issued at: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Tuesday, 01 June 2021
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Tuesday, 01 June 2021
Current Status & Outlook Tropical Storm DANTE (CHOI-WAN) has weakened slightly due to the continued effects of moderate to strong upper-level winds aloft…expected to make landfall over Eastern Samar tonight.

Its western rainbands & trough (extension) will continue to affect Mindanao, Visayas, and Southern Bicol. Scattered to widespread rain showers & Severe thunderstorms with gusty winds will be expected across these areas today.

24-hr Outlook: TS DANTE is forecast to move northwestward across the southwestern portion of the Central Philippine Sea at a forward speed of 19 km/hr…and is expected to make landfall over or south of Borongan City, Eastern Samar between 7 to 9 PM tonight. The storm will then cross Samar Island late tonight and will pass over or very close to Calbayog City by early tomorrow morning. By 8:00 AM tomorrow morning, DANTE will be in the vicinity of Ticao Island, Masbate with little change in strength.

Where is DANTE (CHOI-WAN)? As of 11:00 AM PhT today, June 01…0300 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Along the southwesternmost portion of the Central Philippine Sea (near 10.4°N 126.9°E)
  • Distance 1: 147 km east-southeast of Guiuan City, Eastern Samar
  • Distance 2: 168 km east-northeast of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte
  • Distance 3: 209 km southeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 75 kph near the center…Gustiness: 95 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West-Northwest @ 16 kph, towards Eastern Visayas-Bicol Region Area
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  • Landfall 01:  Along Eastern Samar, between 7 to 9 PM  tonight – with High Strike Probability of >90%. 
  • Landfall 02:  Over Ticao Island (Masbate), between 7 to 9 AM  tomorrow (Wed, June 02) – with High Strike Probability of 80-90%. 
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • Caraga Region – Today.
  • Eastern Visayas – beginning Today.
  • Bicol Region – beginning Tonight.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • WEDNESDAY MORNING: Over Southern Bicol…passing over the island of Ticao (Masbate)…about 28 km E of Masbate City, Masbate [8AM Jun 02: 12.4°N 123.8°E @ 75 kph]Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
  • THURSDAY MORNING: Weakens while in the vicinity of Aurora Memorial National Park, starts to cross Northern Luzon…about 20 km E of Palayan City, Isabela [8AM Jun 03: 15.6°N 121.3°E @ 65 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW
  • FRIDAY MORNING: Emerges over the Balintang Channel as it starts to recurve North to NNE…about 125 km NNW of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte [8AM Jun 04: 19.6°N 120.3°E @ 65 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 400 mm [Light to Extreme]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 998 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Small (425 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (390 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

For more info: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=CHOI-WAN

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL



Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals_dante.png)

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