TROPICAL STORM DANTE (CHOI-WAN) ADVISORY NO. 05

Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Tuesday, 01 June 2021
Next update: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Tuesday, 01 June 2021
Current Status & Outlook Tropical Storm DANTE (CHOI-WAN) continues to struggle while over the Philippine Sea, with most of its rainbands displaced west and south of the exposed, low-level center. Its wind velocity remains at 85 km/hr and was moving west-northwest towards Eastern Visayas & Bicol Region.

Its western rainbands & trough (extension) will continue to affect Mindanao & Visayas, and is now affecting Southern Bicol. Scattered to widespread rain showers & Severe thunderstorms with gusty winds will be expected across these areas today.

24-hr Outlook: TS DANTE is forecast to move northwestward across the southwestern portion of the Central Philippine Sea at a forward speed of 18 km/hr…and is expected to make landfall over or near Borongan City, Eastern Samar between 9-11 PM tonight. The storm will slightly weaken while crossing the rugged terrain of Samar Island, and will be in the vicinity of San Jose De Buan, Samar around 2:00 AM tomorrow morning.

Where is DANTE (CHOI-WAN)? As of 5:00 AM PhT today, June 01…2300 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Along the southwesternmost portion of the Central Philippine Sea (near 10.1°N 127.7°E)
  • Distance 1: 202 km east-northeast of Tandag City, Surigao Del Sur
  • Distance 2: 242 km east of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte
  • Distance 3: 239 km east-southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 85 kph near the center…Gustiness: 100 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West-Northwest @ 20 kph, towards Eastern Visayas-Bicol Region Area
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  • Landfall 01:  Over Eastern Samar, between 9 to 11 PM  tonight – with High Strike Probability of >90%. 
  • Landfall 02:  Over Sorsogon, between 8 to 10 AM  tomorrow (Wed, June 02) – with High Strike Probability of 80-90%. 
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • Caraga Region – Today.
  • Eastern Visayas – beginning Today.
  • Bicol Region – beginning Tonight.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Crossing the landmass of Samar Island…passing over the town of San Jose De Buan…weakens slightly…about 35 km NNE of Catbalogan City, Samar [2AM Jun 02: 12.1°N 125.0°E @ 75 kph]Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
  • THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: In the vicinity of Polillo Island Group after crossing Camarines Provinces, turns NNW-ward towards Aurora…about 32 km NE of Infanta, Quezon [2AM Jun 03: 14.9°N 121.9°E @ 85 kph]Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
  • FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Emerging along the coastal areas of Ilocos Norte…weakens into a minimal Tropical Storm (TS) after traversing the landmass of Northern Luzon…about 27 km NNW of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte [2AM Jun 04: 18.8°N 120.7°E @ 65 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 350 mm [Light to Extreme]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 998 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (660 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (390 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

For more info: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=CHOI-WAN

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL



Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals_dante.png)

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