Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Monday, 31 May 2021
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Tuesday, 01 June 2021
Current Status & Outlook Tropical Storm DANTE (CHOI-WAN) struggling to organize due to moderate upper-level winds above its circulation…maintains its strength while moving northwestward across the Philippine Sea. Its threat to Samar and Bicol Provinces continues.

Its western trough (extension) will continue to affect Mindanao & Visayas – where isolated to scattered rain showers & thunderstorms today.

24-hr Outlook: TS DANTE is forecast to move northwestward across the southwestern portion of the Central Philippine Sea at a decreased forward speed of 13 km/hr…and is likely to become a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) tomorrow.

Where is DANTE (CHOI-WAN)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, May 31…0900 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Along the northern portion of the South Philippine Sea (near 9.3°N 129.3°E)
  • Distance 1: 345 km east of Tandag City, Surigao Del Sur
  • Distance 2: 419 km east of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte
  • Distance 3: 436 km east-southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 85 kph near the center…Gustiness: 100 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) Northwest @ 18 kph, across the Central Philippine Sea
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  • Over Catanduanes, between 1 to 3 PM  Wednesday (June 02) – with High Strike Probability of 70-80%. 
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • Eastern Visayas – beginning tomorrow morning (Tue, Jun 01)
  • Bicol Region – beginning tomorrow evening (Tue, Jun 01)

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Moving NW-ward across the southwestern portion of the Central Philippine Sea, approaching the coastal areas of Eastern Samar…becomes a Severe Tropical Storm (TS)…about 174 km E of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2PM Jun 01: 10.8°N 127.3°E @ 100 kph]Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
  • WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Makes landfall over Catanduanes while maintaining its NW track and intensifying slightly at near-Typhoon strength…about 27 km E of Caramoan, Camarines Sur [2PM Jun 02: 13.8°N 124.1°E @ 110 kph]Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
  • THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens while passing very near the coastal areas of Casiguran, Aurora…turns northward…about 101 km E of Casiguran, Aurora [2PM Jun 03: 16.1°N 123.0°E @ 95 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 400 mm [Light to Extreme]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (555 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (330 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)


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