Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Saturday, 15 May 2021
Current Status & Outlook Tropical Depression (TD) CRISING has weakened into a Tropical Disturbance (LPA) while moving west-northwestward across the Sulu Sea.

This LPA including its trough will bring scattered to widespread rains with severe thunderstorms and squalls across Palawan today.

This is the final advisory on this Tropical Cyclone.

Where is CRISING? As of 5:00 AM PhT today, May 15…2100 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Over Sulu Sea (near 8.8°N 120.9°E)
  • Distance 1: 100 km south-southwest of Cagayancillo, Palawan
  • Distance 2: 266 km east-southeast of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan
  • Distance 3: 270 km west of Dipolog City, Zamboanga Del Norte
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 35 kph near the center…Gustiness: 55 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West-Northwest @ 21 kph, towards Sulu Sea-Palawan  Area.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  • None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • None

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

12-hr Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Approaching the eastern coast of Central Palawan…about 86 km south of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan [2PM May 15: 9.2°N 118.9°E @ 30 kph].  Confidence Level: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 5 to 25 mm [Light to Moderate]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 1008 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Very Small/Midget (210 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): n/a (— km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)


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Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (


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