TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISING ADVISORY NO. 03
Issued at: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Friday, 14 May 2021
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Friday, 14 May 2021
|Current Status & Outlook||CRISING just a Tropical Depression (TD) as it continues to deteriorate…accelerates westward, and made landfall over Davao Oriental, near the town of Baganga a few hours ago.
This depression will continue to bring scattered to occasional rains with severe thunderstorms and gusty winds across Eastern, Central & Northern Mindanao particularly Davao Region and portions of Caraga Region today.
24-hr Outlook: TD CRISING is forecast to move west-northwestward across Mindanao at a forward speed of 18 km/hr and will continue losing strength. It will traverse the provinces of Davao De Oro, Davao Del Norte, Bukidnon, the northern part of Lanao Provinces, Misamis Occidental, & the northern tip of Zamboanga Del Norte today – between this early morning until the evening. There is a possibility that Crising may be downgraded into a Tropical Disturbance (LPA) earlier than forecasted – this is due to the rugged, mountainous terrains of Mindanao.
|Where is CRISING?||As of 11:00 PM PhT last night, May 13…1500 GMT:
|How strong is it?||Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph.|
|Past Movement (06 hrs)||West @ 20 kph, towards Davao De Oro-Del Norte Area.|
|Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)||
|What Philippine areas will be directly affected?||Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
|Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+||
+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates for more details.
|2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**||
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
|Other Storm’s Meteorological Information||
|Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.|
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)
Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks
:: None yet. Will be available once RSMC’s Tokyo Typhoon Center (JMA) upgrades it into a Tropical Storm ::
PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.