TROPICAL DEPRESSION AURING ADVISORY NO. 01
Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Wednesday, 17 February 2021
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Thursday, 18 February 2021
|Current Status & Outlook||A newly-formed Tropical Depression with local name “AURING” has entered the southeastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this morning. It is forecast to threaten and affect Mindanao and Visayas this weekend.
24-hr Outlook: TD AURING is forecast to move very slowly, northwestward over the South Philippine Sea at a decreased forward speed of 03 km/hr. This cyclone could become a Tropical Storm (TS) by tomorrow morning.
|Where is AURING?||As of 5:00 PM PhT today, February 17…0900 GMT:
|How strong is it?||Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph.|
|Past Movement (06 hrs)||West @ 13 kph, across the South Philippine Sea|
|Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)||
|What Philippine areas will be directly affected?||Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
|Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+||
+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates for more details.
|3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**||
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
|Other Storm’s Meteorological Information||
|Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.|
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)
PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
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Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.