Issued at: 11:00 AM PhT (03:00 GMT) Tuesday, 11 April 2023
Next update: 11:00 PM PhT (15:00 GMT) Tuesday, 11 April 2023
Current Status & Outlook Tropical Depression (TD) AMANG newly-formed over the Philippine Sea, fast approaching the eastern coastal waters of Samar and Bicol Provinces. Heavy rains and thunderstorms are expected across the area beginning today and tomorrow (Apr 12).

48-hr Outlook: TD AMANG is forecast to slightly intensify as it approaches Bicol Peninsula. The system will make landfall over Catanduanes-Albay-Camarines Provinces tomorrow and will traverse the area through the evening. By Thursday morning (Apr 13), AMANG will emerge along the NW Coast of Camarines Norte and weaken. 

Where is AMANG? As of 8:00 AM PhT today, April 11…0000 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Along the western part of the Central Philippine Sea (near 13.6°N 127.5°E)
  • Distance 1:  355 km east of Virac, Catanduanes
  • Distance 2:  465 km east of Naga City, Camarines Sur
  • Distance 3:  415 km east of Legazpi City, Albay
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West @ 30 kph, towards the Bicol Region.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)
  • Over Catanduanes-Albay-Camarines Provinces on Wednesday morning (Apr 12), between 8 AM to 5 PMwith High Strike Probability of >90%.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • Bicol & Samar Provinces – Beginning Today through Wednesday (Apr 12).
  • Southern Tagalog Provinces – Beginning Wednesday (Apr 12) through Thursday (Apr 13).

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None.

+Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • WEDNESDAY MORNING: Over Albay Gulf as it is about to make landfall over Albay-Camarines Sur Area…about 85 km E of Legazpi City, Albay [8AM Apr 12: 13.1°N 124.5°E @ 55-75 kph]Forecast ConfidenceHIGH
  • THURSDAY MORNING: Weakens slightly after crossing Bicol Mainland, emerges over the northwestern coast of Camarines Norte…about 70 km WNW of Daet, Camarines Norte [8AM Apr 13: 14.4°N 122.4°E @ 55-75 kph]Forecast ConfidenceLOW
  • FRIDAY MORNING: Dissipates into a Remnant LPA after traversing the southern portion of Central Luzon…moving WNW @ 19 kph…about 110 km ENE of Tandag City, Surigao Del Sur [8AM Apr 14: 15.4°N 120.0°E @ 35-50 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Small (475 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter):
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  —
Disclaimer: Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)


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