Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Sunday, 10 April 2022
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Sunday, 10 April 2022
Current Status & Outlook AGATON becomes a Tropical Storm (TS) as it creeps closer to Guiuan, Eastern Samar.  Heavy to torrential rains prevailing across Samar & Leyte Provinces, Surigao Del Norte including Dinagat & Siargao Group of Islands. Landfall is likely along the southern portions of Eastern Samar today. 

24-hr Outlook: TS AGATON is forecast to drift slowly, West to WNW @ 5 kph across the southern portions of Eastern Samar through early tomorrow morning (Monday) while maintaining its strength.

Its rain circulation has expanded and is now affecting various portions of Visayas, Bicol Region, Northern Caraga, and Northern Mindanao.

Where is AGATON? As of 5:00 AM PhT today, April 10…2100 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Along the coastal waters of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (near 11.0°N 126.2°E)
  • Distance 1: 52 km east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
  • Distance 2: 138 km east-southeast of Tacloban City, Leyte
  • Distance 3: 157 km east-southeast of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West-Northwest @ 06 kph, along the Coastal Waters of Guiuan, Eastern Samar.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)
  • Along the Southern Portions of Eastern Samar – with High Strike Probability of >90%.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • Eastern & Central Visayas, Sorsogon, Albay, Masbate, Ticao Island including Dinagat & Siargao Island Group.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintains its strength as it drifts slowly overland across the Southern Part of Samar Province…about 26 km E of Tacloban City, Leyte [2AM Apr 11: 11.3°N 125.2°E @ 65 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW
  • TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Stalls very near Tacloban City as it starts to interacts with the large circulation of STS MALAKAS…about 37 km E of Tacloban City, Leyte [2AM Apr 12: 11.2°N 125.3°E @ 75 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW
  • WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Accelerates rapidly East to ENE-ward across the easternmost part of the Philippine Sea…exits the PAR. Completely assimilated into the southern circulation of STS MALAKAS…about 852 km ENE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2AM Apr 13: 11.1°N 128.4°E @ 75 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 700 mm [Light to Extreme]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 999 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (595 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Midget (<125 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  —
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)


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