TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATON ADVISORY NO. 01

Issued at: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Saturday, 09 April 2022
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Sunday, 10 April 2022
Current Status & Outlook Tropical Depression AGATON newly-formed along the coastal waters of Siargao-Guiuan Area…barely moving as it awaits the passage of the much stronger Tropical Storm MALAKAS located to the east, outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

24-hr Outlook: TD AGATON is forecast to maintain its quasi-stationary motion through tomorrow, Sunday and could become a Tropical Storm.

Its circulation remains small and will only affect Eastern Visayas and Surigao Del Norte including Siargao and Dinagat Island Group.

Where is AGATON? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, April 09…0900 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Along the southwesternmost portion of the Central Philippine Sea (near 10.8°N 127.0°E)
  • Distance 1: 142 km east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
  • Distance 2: 200 km northeast of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte
  • Distance 3: 228 km east-southeast of Tacloban City, Leyte
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) Quasi-Stationary (ESE @ 04 kph), over the Coastal Waters of Siargao-Guiuan Area.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)
  • None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • Eastern Visayas including Dinagat & Siargao Island Group.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies into a TS while remaining almost stationary along the coastal waters of Guiuan and Siargao Area…about 110 km ESE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2PM Apr 10: 10.8°N 126.7°E @ 65 kph]Forecast ConfidenceMEDIUM
  • MONDAY AFTERNOON: Strengthens further as it starts to move slowly ENE across the Central Philippine Sea towards the circulation of TS MALAKAS…about 250 km E of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2PM Apr 11: 11.3°N 128.0°E @ 75 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW
  • TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Completely assimilated into the southern circulation of the larger TS MALAKAS…about 852 km ENE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2PM Apr 12: 13.0°N 133.3°E @ 75 kph]Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 500 mm [Light to Extreme]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Small (420 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Midget (<125 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  —
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)

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Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone-bulletin-iframe)

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